The COVID-19 Pandemic and Nature-Based Tourism, Scenario Planning Approach (Case Study of Nature-Based Tourism in Iran)

The development of nature-based tourism is one the most critical sectors tourism, which influenced by various economic, socio-cultural, and environmental factors. COVID-19 pandemic has all including tourism. purpose this article to identify key drivers affecting analyze future scenarios in Iran based on uncertainties caused pandemic. Micmac ScenarioWizard software programs were used research findings. Many factors affect Iran, fall into two human natural groups. Five are influencing Iran: national, regional globaly safety (F2); economic stability (F8); private sector participation (F9), crises such as diseases, wars, etc. (F16); national international advertising (national (F17); travel costs (F19). According pandemic, results show that a total 10 for conceivable, presented three